Amavuta yigihe kizaza imbaraga zituje 'guhindura amaboko'?Umukino muremure - ngufi wongeye kwiyongera

Amavuta yigihe kizaza imbaraga zituje 'guhindura amaboko'?Umukino muremure - ngufi wongeye kwiyongera

Nyuma yuko OPEC + ifashe icyemezo cyo ku ya 5 Ukwakira kugabanya umusaruro wa peteroli kuri miriyoni 2 kuri barrale guhera mu Gushyingo, ibitego byo gutereta no kugabanuka ku isoko ry’igihe kizaza cya peteroli ku isi byongeye kwiyongera.Yakomeje agira ati: “Ingaruka zatewe no kugabanuka gukabije kwa OPEC + mu mpinduka ebyiri nshya, isoko ry’ibiciro bya peteroli ya peteroli ubu ni igishoro gisubira inyuma ku isoko ry’ibimasa bya peteroli, icya kabiri ni ishyirahamwe ry’amakuru menshi rigabanya imyanya y’ibihe bya peteroli, kuko babonye ko nka igihe cyose ibiciro bya peteroli biri hasi, OPEC + irashobora gukomeza kugabanya umusaruro, kugeza igihe igiciro kizongera kugera ku rwego rwabo. ”Umucuzi wa peteroli ya peteroli broker yabwiye abanyamakuru gusesengura.

 

  Nyuma yuko OPEC + ifashe icyemezo cyo ku ya 5 Ukwakira kugabanya umusaruro wa peteroli kuri miriyoni 2 kuri barrale guhera mu Gushyingo, ibitego byo gutereta no kugabanuka ku isoko ry’igihe kizaza cya peteroli ku isi byongeye kwiyongera.Yakomeje agira ati: “Ingaruka zatewe no kugabanuka gukabije kwa OPEC + mu mpinduka ebyiri nshya, isoko ry’ibiciro bya peteroli ya peteroli ubu ni igishoro gisubira inyuma ku isoko ry’ibimasa bya peteroli, icya kabiri ni ishyirahamwe ry’amakuru menshi rigabanya imyanya y’ibihe bya peteroli, kuko babonye ko nka igihe cyose ibiciro bya peteroli biri hasi, OPEC + irashobora gukomeza kugabanya umusaruro, kugeza igihe igiciro kizongera kugera ku rwego rwabo. ”Umucuzi wa peteroli ya peteroli broker yabwiye abanyamakuru gusesengura.Dukurikije amakuru aheruka gutangwa na komisiyo ishinzwe ubucuruzi bwa Commodity Futures, abategura imyanya ndende muri Brent na WTI ejo hazaza h’ibicuruzwa byazamutseho amasezerano 53.179 kuva mu cyumweru gishize bagera kuri 373.467 guhera ku ya 4 Ukwakira, akaba ari yo menshi mu byumweru 11 bishize.“

Icyakora, Ikigega cy’ingamba za CTA n’ikigega cy’ishoramari ry’ibicuruzwa ntikiragaruka ku isoko ry’igihe kizaza cya peteroli, bigatuma igiciro cya peteroli kiva mu kugabanuka gukabije kwa OPEC +. ”Amavuta ya peteroli yigihe kizaza broker ntakibazo.Amasezerano nyamukuru ya WTI yazamutse ava ku madolari 85.4 agera kuri $ 93.3 kuri barrale nyuma yuko OPEC + igabanije umusaruro wa miriyoni 2 ku munsi, ariko igabanuka igera ku madolari 89 kuko igipimo cy’amadolari cyazamutse mu minsi ibiri ishize, Datayes yerekanye.Ati: “Ubwoba bw'idolari rikomeye ni nayo mpamvu nyamukuru yatumye amafaranga ya peteroli gakondo gakondo, nk'amafaranga ya CTA n'amafaranga y'ibicuruzwa, atinda kwifashisha OPEC + no kugabanya umusaruro kugira ngo agaruke ku isoko rirerire rya peteroli.”Helima Croft, umuyobozi wibikorwa byibicuruzwa byisi yose kumasoko ya BC.Kugeza ubu, bategereje kureba uzatsinda urugamba hagati ya OPEC n’idolari rikomeye kugira ngo bahitemo icyemezo cy’ishoramari gikurikira.Zou Zhiqiang, umushakashatsi mu kigo cy’ubushakashatsi bwo mu burasirazuba bwo hagati muri kaminuza ya Fudan, yemeza ko Arabiya Sawudite ndetse n’ibindi bihugu bya OPEC + bahisemo kugabanya cyane umusaruro w’ibicuruzwa miliyoni 2 b / d, ahanini bishingiye ku nyungu zabo bwite.Ibyo biterwa nuko bakeneye ibiciro bya peteroli kugirango bagume hejuru cyane kugirango babaha amafaranga menshi yo gushyigikira ubukungu bwabo.Ariko ntagushidikanya ko ibyo byangiza inyungu zabanyamerika.Kuberako Amerika ikoresha cyane amadolari akomeye kugirango igabanye ibiciro bya peteroli, bityo igabanye ifaranga ry’Amerika.

Benshi mu bayobozi b'ikigega cya Wall Street babwiye abanyamakuru ko hakiri kare guhanura ibizava mu ntambara nshya iharanira uburenganzira bwo gushyiraho ibiciro ku isoko rya peteroli.Ariko ikigaragara ni uko OPEC + itazihanganira ibiciro bya peteroli igihe kirekire kugirango ibangamire inyungu zayo nyamukuru.Ibyo byatumye abashoramari biyongera cyane bashingira ku madorari akubita hejuru kugira ngo birinde gushora imari ku biciro bya peteroli, bazi ingaruka za politiki zigenda ziyongera.Abanyamakuru bamenye ko ku ya 5 Ukwakira, OPEC + yafashe icyemezo cyo kugabanya umusaruro wa peteroli ku gipimo cya miriyoni 2 ku munsi, ibyo bikaba byaratumye imyumvire yo kugura ku isoko ry’ibihe bya peteroli ku isi.Ati: “Mu bihe byashize, imbaraga z’ibiciro ku isoko ry’igihe kizaza cya peteroli hafi ya zose zari ziganjemo imari shingiro, ibyo bikaba byaratewe ahanini no kugurisha ibiciro by’ibikomoka kuri peteroli bitewe n’izamuka rishya ry’idolari, hatitawe ku mpinduka z’itangwa rya peteroli n’ibisabwa. ”Abacuruzi ba peteroli ya peteroli yabwiye abanyamakuru.Ibyo byatumye abashoramari benshi bizera ko ibiciro bya peteroli bidahabwa agaciro kugirango bagume kure.Kuri we, ibi nibyo rwose ubuyobozi bushaka.Ibyo biterwa nuko idorari rikomeye rituma ibiciro bya peteroli biri hasi, bishobora kugabanya cyane igitutu cy’ifaranga ry’Amerika.Icyakora, hamwe n’icyemezo cya OPEC + cyo kugabanya umusaruro wa miriyoni 2 kuri barrale ku munsi, uko ibintu bimeze muri iki gihe cy’imari shingiro yiganjemo ibiciro by’ibiciro bya peteroli “byaragabanutse”.Mu cyumweru gishize, umubare w’amafaranga y’ibihimbano n’ibikorwa byatewe n’ibikorwa byinjiye mu guhiga ibiciro byo hasi, bituma amasezerano nyamukuru ya WTI asubira hejuru y’amadolari 90 kuri barrale.Tonly Datayes yerekana, igishoro cyibanze munsi yigihe kizaza cya peteroli kugirango igure umuvuduko mwinshi, izamuka kuva mu mpera za Nzeri, mugihe ibicuruzwa byo ku isoko OPEC +, cyangwa umusaruro mwinshi, bituma ibicuruzwa byinjira byinjira, intego nyamukuru WTI yibikomoka kuri peteroli ya peteroli yagabanutse hanze inshuro zirenga 13%, ndetse nigishoro kinini cyibihimbano "kwirengagiza" idorari kugirango bikubiyemo ingaruka zibiciro bya peteroli, Simbukira ugure igiciro cya peteroli.Nkubwire, icyerekezo cy'idolari cyasubiye inyuma kiva kuri 114.78 kigera kuri 113.12 mu byumweru bibiri bishize, mugihe amasezerano nyamukuru ya WTI yavuye ku madolari 76.25 agera kuri $ 89 kuri barrale.Ati: “Inyuma y'ibi, igishoro cyinshi kandi gihimbano ni uguhitamo ko ejo hazaza h'amavuta hazasubira $ 95- $ 100 / BBL ku buryo burambye uhereye ku madorari akomeye.Kubera ko aribyo OPEC + ishaka kubona. ”

Isesengura rya peteroli ya peteroli ya broker yavuze.Bazi kandi ko OPEC +, ihura n’ingaruka zikomeye z’idolari rikomeye ku biciro bya peteroli, ishobora gufata ingamba nk’umusaruro munini wagabanijwe kugira ngo ibiciro bya peteroli bizamuke, bityo ingamba zo kugura hasi zikagenda neza.Abanyamakuru bamenye kandi ko mu cyumweru gishize, inshuti nyinshi kuri Banki nkuru y’igihugu kugira ngo zikomeze ibiciro by’izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ishoramari na byo byinjiye mu nkambi yo kugura hasi kugira ngo bigure ibiciro bya peteroli.Kuberako bizera ko Fed igomba gukomeza ingamba zayo zo kuzamura igipimo cya hawkish mugihe cyose izamuka ryibiciro bya peteroli rituma ifaranga riba ryinshi muri Amerika, bahembwa ninyungu zirenze urugero ku isoko ry’inyungu zikomoka ku nyungu.Impamvu ibimasa bya peteroli gakondo byatinze kwinjira Birakwiye ko tumenya ko amasoko yimari nayo ahangayikishijwe nuburyo kongera ingufu za OPEC + igabanuka rya 200-bpd umusaruro bizagira ku biciro bya peteroli.Ati: "Mu minsi ibiri ishize, amadolari akomeye yagarutse, yohereza ibiciro bya peteroli bya WTI byagabanutse nyuma yo gukubita amadorari 93 kuri barrile."Abacuruzi ba peteroli ya peteroli yabwiye abanyamakuru nta buryarya.Impamvu nuko imari shingiro imaze kubona igipimo cy’idolari kimaze gukira, cyahise cyongera umwanya muto mu gihe kizaza cya peteroli, bituma igabanuka ry’ibiciro bya peteroli.Kuri we, urebye ko imari shingiro ihwanye na 30% y’ubucuruzi ku isoko ry’igihe kizaza cya peteroli, izamuka ry’ibiciro bya peteroli biturutse ku igabanywa ry’umusaruro ukabije wa OPEC + rishobora kuba “igihe gito” niba imari gakondo ya peteroli isanzwe, nk'amafaranga ya CTA ingamba hamwe n'amafaranga y'ibicuruzwa, ntabwo asubira ku isoko rya peteroli ya peteroli.

Umuyobozi w'ikigega cy’ingamba cya Wall Street CTA yatangarije abanyamakuru ko nubwo bahora bizera ko ibiciro bya peteroli bidahabwa agaciro, baracyitonda cyane kubera amahirwe yo kugura inyungu yazanywe no kugabanuka kw’ibikorwa bya OPEC +.Bafite impungenge ko OPEC + idashobora kugarura ijambo kubiciro bya peteroli.Ikibazo nuko ejo hazaza h'amavuta ya peteroli agurwa mumadolari, kandi mugihe cyose Fed ikomeje kuzamura igipimo cyinyungu no kohereza amadorari kugirango yandike hejuru, ibiciro bya peteroli amaherezo bizahura nigitutu gikomeye cyo kumanuka.Yakomeje agira ati: “Ikindi ni uko ihungabana ry'ingufu zitangwa mu Burayi ritera ihungabana ryihuse mu bukungu bw'Uburayi ndetse no kugabanuka gukabije kw'ivunjisha ry'amayero, ibyo bikaba byaratumye izamuka ry’idolari ryiyongera, bigatuma igitutu cyamanuka ku biciro bya peteroli. ”Yavuze.Ntabwo amafaranga menshi yingamba za CTA namafaranga yibicuruzwa yagarutse kumwanya muremure mubihe bya peteroli ya peteroli, indi mpamvu nuko "batinyaga" kugura amahirwe mashya kubera igihombo kinini cyibiciro bya peteroli.

Umunyamakuru asobanukiwe na benshi, nubwo hari ikigega cya CTA stratégies hamwe na peteroli yo munsi y’ibicuruzwa byinjira mu bicuruzwa, bafite amafaranga nayo ni make, imwe mu mpamvu zingenzi, kugaburirwa inyungu zazamutse cyane ni ugukoresha ibiciro bizamuka, gukora amafaranga amafaranga yakoreshejwe arahari cyane, kandi biragoye kugira uruhare runini kumihindagurikire yibiciro bya peteroli.Ati: "Iyi ni impamvu y'ingenzi ituma amafaranga menshi y'ibicuruzwa na CTA bahitamo kubura aya mahirwe yo kugura aho gufata ibyago, bahitamo gutegereza ibizavamo hagati ya OPEC + n'amadolari akomeye mbere yo gufata icyemezo cy’ubutaha."“Stephanie Lang, umuyobozi mukuru ushinzwe ishoramari muri Homrich Berg.

 

Ati: "Ibikoresho fatizo by'imyenda yacu idoda, polypropilene, ni umusaruro wo gutunganya peteroli.Igiciro cya peteroli mpuzamahanga kizagira ingaruka ku giciro kizaza cyibikoresho byacu fatizo, kandi bigira ingaruka ku giciro cyimyenda yacu idoda.Nyamuneka tegura urutonde rwibarura no kuzuza hakiri kare. "Ati Mason kuri Henghua Nonwoven.


Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukwakira-14-2022

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